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PRODID:-//Columba Systems Ltd//NONSGML CPNG/SpringViewer/ICal Output/3.3-
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METHOD:PUBLISH
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTAMP:20160412T165100Z
DTSTART:20160426T150000Z
DTEND:20160426T163000Z
SUMMARY:CMIST Afternoon Seminar: Estimating the Uncertainty in the Local 
 Authority Mid-year Population Estimates
UID:{http://www.columbasystems.com/customers/uom/gpp/eventid/}y1o3-imxo00
 ra-q2prf7
DESCRIPTION:Abstract:\nEach year\, the Office for National Statistics (ON
 S) produces mid-year population estimates for each local authority. In t
 he years following the Census\, these are produced by adding births\, im
 migrants (from outside the UK) and internal in-migrants (from within the
  UK) and subtracting deaths\, emigrants and internal out-migrants.  Whil
 e births and deaths are accurately measured\, the other components of ch
 ange are estimated by using primarily the International Passenger Survey
  (IPS) for international migration and the GP Patient Register (PR) for 
 internal migration. \n\nIn this presentation\, I will describe some of t
 he work I have been undertaking with the ONS over the last six years to 
 estimate the uncertainty in these components and hence in the mid-year p
 opulation estimates. For internal migration\, models are built for the e
 rrors in the PR based on discrepancies between the PR and the Census. Fo
 r international migration\, the error distributions are estimated by boo
 tstrapping the IPS.\n
STATUS:TENTATIVE
TRANSP:TRANSPARENT
CLASS:PUBLIC
LOCATION:CMIST Seminar Room: 2.07\, Humanities Bridgeford Street\, Manche
 ster
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