Warning of volcanic eruptions in Campi Flegrei, southern Italy.
|Starts:||13:00 2 Dec 2020|
|Ends:||14:00 2 Dec 2020|
|What is it:||Seminar|
|Organiser:||Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences|
|Who is it for:||University staff, Adults, Alumni, Current University students|
|Speaker:||Prof Chris Kilburn|
Prof Chris Kilburn, UEA, Norwich, joins us for a Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences seminar. Abstract below.
Forecasts of eruption are often uncertain at volcanoes reawakening after several generations at rest. Uncertainty fosters scepticism about warnings of volcanic activity and can hamper the success of emergency procedures. Recent events at Campi Flegrei, in southern Italy, provide textbook examples. Unrest at the volcano has twice triggered emergencies without eruption since 1970. It has
encouraged doubt that volcanic processes below the surface have been responsible. In contrast, simultaneous advances in volcano science suggest that the possibility of an eruption has increased with each emergency. They have also improved the quality of forecasts and explanations of why they are still not perfect. As a result, they offer new opportunities for increasing public confidence in warnings of the volcano's future behaviour.
Prof Chris Kilburn
Organisation: UCL Hazard Centre, UCL, London
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