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Social Statistics Seminars: Prof. Juho Härkönen, (European University Institute)

Dates:7 May 2024
Times:14:00 - 15:30
What is it:Seminar
Organiser:School of Social Sciences
Who is it for:University staff
Speaker:Prof. Juno Harkonen
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  • In group "(SoSS) Social Statistics"
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Professor Juho Härkönen, (European University Institute) will be presenting "Perinatal health in educational attainment: individual and population level relevance" (joint work with Marco Cozzani, Niko Eskelinen and Matti Lindberg)

Abstract Numerous studies have shown that perinatal health can have long-term effects on educational attainment, labour market success, and health in adulthood. Many of these studies have used birth weight as a compound measure of prenatal health, whereas others have estimated causal effects of prenatal health using natural experiments of natural and man-made disasters. A limitation of this literature is that it provides little evidence of the relevance of prenatal health at the population level, either because it focuses on single markers of prenatal health (e.g., birth weight) or because it estimates the effects of rare events (disasters). In this study, we address these issues by estimating the effects of a range of common perinatal health conditions—maternal smoking in pregnancy, gestational hypertension and pre-eclampsia, and anemia, as well as low birth weight and its two components, gestational age and intrauterine growth restriction—and estimate population attributable fractions as summary measures of the importance of these conditions on (foregone) educational attainment at the population level. We use Finnish population register data and estimate sibling fixed-effects models to control for unmeasured variables shared by siblings. We find that intrauterine growth restriction—and by implication, low birth weight—is the only perinatal condition that affects educational attainment, and it only affects the probability of attaining a tertiary degree. Being born small-for-gestational-age or with low birth weight lowers the probability of attaining a tertiary degree by 7 and 8 percentage points (approximately 20% compared to the baseline), respectively. Yet, the low prevalence of these conditions means that they have small population-level relevance: eliminating them would increase the population share of tertiary degree holders only marginally. We conclude that although perinatal health problems can have important socioeconomic consequences at the individual level, its population-level relevance is limited. We discuss the transferability of these conclusions beyond the Finnish context.

Speaker

Prof. Juno Harkonen

Role: Investigator Scientist at Medical Research Council (MRC) Biostatistics Unit

Organisation: European University Institute

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eduardo.fe@manchester.ac.uk

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