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Jan Palczewski - A non-zero sum game of exit with asymmetric information

Dates:8 November 2023
Times:15:00 - 16:00
What is it:Seminar
Organiser:Department of Mathematics
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  • Jan Palczewski's Homepage

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  • In category "Seminar"
  • In group "(Maths) Probability and statistics"
  • By Department of Mathematics

Jan Palczewski (University of Leeds) will speak at the Probability seminar. (in-person)

The timing of a strategic exit from a competitive market is one of the most important business decisions. Motivated by this problem, we examine a stochastic game of exit from a duopoly in which players do not know their competitor's exit payoff. It is a non-zero sum stopping game with asymmetric information. The market uncertainty, observed by both players, is represented by a general one-dimensional diffusion. Under the condition that a certain optimal stopping problem has a solution of a threshold type, we construct a symmetric equilibrium in pure strategies. This equilibrium is further shown to be unique in a wide subclass of symmetric perfect Bayesian equilibria. Our arguments are mainly probabilistic with an occasional use of PDE methods.

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Thomas Bernhardt

thomas.bernhardt@manchester.ac.uk

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