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Probability Seminar: Goran Peskir - The Optimal Mean-Variance Selling Problem with Finite Horizon

Dates:5 March 2025
Times:15:00 - 16:00
What is it:Seminar
Organiser:Department of Mathematics
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  • In group "(Maths) Probability and statistics"
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Goran Peskir (The University of Manchester) will speak at the Probability seminar.

Title: The Optimal Mean-Variance Selling Problem with Finite Horizon

Abstract: Imagine an investor who owns a stock which he wishes to sell so as to maximise his return and minimise his risk upon selling. In line with the classic mean-variance analysis we identify the return with the expectation of the stock price and the risk with the variance of the stock price. The quadratic nonlinearity of the variance then moves the resulting optimal stopping problem outside the scope of the standard/linear optimal stopping theory. Consequently the results and methods of the standard/linear optimal stopping theory are no longer applicable in this new/nonlinear setting. The solution to the nonlinear problem when the horizon is infinite has been known for some time, however, the method of proof used to solve the nonlinear problem in that case is not applicable in the case when the horizon is finite. The purpose of the present talk is to develop a new method of proof which solves the nonlinear problem when the horizon is finite. is joint work with P. Johnson and J. L. Pedersen.

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Jose Pedraza Ramirez

jose.pedrazaramirez@manchester.ac.uk

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