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SOCIAL STATISTICS SEMINAR SERIES

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Dates:9 December 2025
Times:14:00 - 15:30
What is it:Seminar
Organiser:School of Social Sciences
Who is it for:University staff, External researchers, Adults, Alumni, Current University students
Speaker:José Manuel Aburto
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  • In category "Seminar"
  • In group "(SoSS) Social Statistics"
  • By School of Social Sciences

Please join us for the Social Statistics Seminar, we have coffee and cake. We are very pleased to welcome:

José Manuel Aburto Brass Blacker Associate Professor in Demography, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine

Title: Post-Pandemic Mortality and Parental Loss: Racial/Ethnic Inequalities in a Changing Health Landscape

Abstract: Here is the abstract: Life expectancy, a central indicator of population health, was severely disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic, prompting renewed attention to cause-specific mortality patterns and their indirect effects on population well-being. In this talk, I will present up-to-date mortality trends to assess whether life expectancy has fully recovered to pre-pandemic levels, whether it aligns with trajectories expected in the absence of the pandemic, and how cause-of-death profiles have shifted in recent years. I will also examine how these mortality changes intersect with social inequalities by analysing parental loss in the USA from 2000–2023, a period marked by life-expectancy stagnation and sharp mortality shocks. Using vital statistics and focusing on drug- and alcohol-related deaths, suicides, homicides, and cardiovascular diseases, we estimate annual parental loss among children under 18 and analyse disparities by race/ethnicity with a newly developed indicator. Our findings reveal rising levels of orphanhood—heightened during the pandemic—with substantial racial/ethnic disparities with drug overdoses emerging as the leading contributor among White and Hispanic families, cardiovascular mortality remaining predominant among Black families, and homicides disproportionately affecting Black children. These results highlight the evolving landscape of mortality and its unequal consequences for families and children in the post-pandemic era.

Speaker

José Manuel Aburto

Role: Brass Blacker Associate Professor in Demography

Organisation: London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine

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Kathrin Morosow

kathrin.morosow@manchester.ac.uk

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