Forecasting Population with POPGROUP short course
|Dates:||16 June 2016|
|What is it:||Course|
|Organiser:||Cathie Marsh Institute for Social Research|
|How much:||£140 (public sector) £195 (private sector)|
|Who is it for:||University staff, Adults, Alumni, Current University students, General public|
The course reviews and implements the standard methods of forecasting population with age and sex detail, through use of the POPGROUP software. The course uses Data Modules to explore government forecasts and participants will make their own alternative scenarios.
The focus is on sub-national forecasts for districts of Britain, but the principles transfer directly to national forecasts, to sub-national forecasts of other areas, and to social or ethnic groups, each of which are discussed. The aim is to understand the demographic characteristics of the local district, how they are likely to affect future population change, the range of possible futures, and how these can be used to help plan public services.
The emphasis is on hands-on learning through practical sessions that take the participants through the preparation of inputs, running forecasts, analysing results, and adjusting forecasts to implement a range of scenarios or assumptions.
The morning session will focus on understanding the capacity of the software through an extended hands-on exercise using data for districts in England chosen by the participant. These forecasts will be developed in the afternoon following guidance or exploring the participant’s own priorities.
Please note that a portfolio of demographic-related course is offered at CMIST over a five-day period. Participants on this course will be expected to be conversant with handling multiple Excel files. Preparation before the course will be distributed to help participants become familiar with demographic concepts and POPGROUP. They may be interested in taking the courses earlier in the week, Demographic Concepts and Methods, and Population Estimating and Forecasting.
This standalone course on Forecasting Population with POPGROUP takes place on day 4 and acts as a foundation course for those with little experience POPGROUP. It leads on to the course on Household and Labour Force Forecasts with POPGROUP which takes place on day 5.
This course is designed for current and potential users of demographic data who wish to understand or use the POPGROUP, the standard software for population analysis and planning in the UK. Participants wishing to get skilled up in this software might be postgraduate or other established academics or be from local or national government, health service or business planning backgrounds.
Price: £140 (public sector) £195 (private sector)
Travel and Contact Information
Basement computer lab
Humanities Bridgeford Street